Our horizon scanning project identified five areas of opportunity for business, including local ones here in Birmingham. They are:
What’s stopping humanity tackling the threats we’re facing? The Rockefeller Foundation-Lancet Commission on Planetary Health asked just this question.
Our report Back from the Future is the culmination of our recent horizon scanning project. And it’s an uncomfortable read, looking out to a mere 6-12 years ahead, let alone towards 2050.
There is a narrow space between on one side being jolted out of complacency and on the other, impotent terror or despair. And, Kate’s talk at the Impact Hub meeting on ‘Feeding the City’ missed that space. This is sad, because we need to understand what the future could bring.
As I said earlier, we need be careful about the words we use. They betray careless thinking. And careless thinking costs lives.
Slide: Costs Feeding the city — or more accurately, feeding the 65M people in the UK, let alone the world population of 7.5bn and rising — involves a realistic look at the trade-offs we need to make.
Slide: Demand Today’s global population is 7.5bn people.
Slide: Supply Agriculture (aka ‘primary production’) requires soil, sea, fresh water and energy, all under threat.
Slide: Realism Part II — ‘sustainability’ At the recent Oxford Farming Conference, Secretary of State at Defra, Michael Gove, made this speech. He didn’t once mention the phrase ‘food security’, as I pointed out in this blogpost.
Slide: Added value It’s 10-12K years since agriculture began to develop, along with the means to store and preserve its products